The market, by the numbers

Statistics

Ninety-eight years of S&P 500 history and fourteen years of tech IPOs, drawn so you can see the ups, the falls and the climbs back.

IPOs after listing

How do new tech listings fare in their first year?

RBL | US | 09Updated
Listed
Scale
Median biggest fall in year one−54%From a high to a later low, first 12 months
Median 12-month return−2%From the first-day close; 40 of 44 have a full year
Up after 12 months48%19 of 40
Median first-day pop+38%Offer price to first close, for IPO allotment holders

Growth of 100 from the first-day close, trading days after listing

Median of the 40 with a full year Each IPO; point at a line to name it
2050100200Start1 mo3 mo6 mo12 mo
IPOListedOfferFirst-day pop1 week1 month3 months6 months12 monthsBiggest fall, year one
SpaceX SPCXJun 2026$135+19%−4%−16%−8%Not yetNot yet−49% so far
Quantinuum QNTJun 2026$60+1%−6%+29%−19%Not yetNot yet−60% so far
Cerebras CBRSMay 2026$185+68%−9%−30%−30%Not yetNot yet−65% so far
BitGo BTGOJan 2026$18+3%−35%−49%−40%−74%Not yet−75% so far
Klarna KLARSep 2025$40+15%−1%−10%−33%−68%−70%−73%
Figma FIGJul 2025$33+250%−32%−39%−56%−78%−78%−86%
Chime CHYMJun 2025$27+37%−20%−18%−36%−26%−52%−56%
Circle CRCLJun 2025$31+168%+28%+146%+38%+5%−1%−81%
eToro ETORMay 2025$52+29%−2%−8%−29%−38%−39%−67%
CoreWeave CRWVMar 2025$400%+20%+7%+308%+206%+94%−65%
ServiceTitan TTANDec 2024$71+42%+5%−2%−5%+4%+4%−34%
Rubrik RBRKApr 2024$32+16%−8%−9%−6%+5%+91%−34%
Reddit RDDTMar 2024$34+48%−2%−17%+14%+31%+149%−52%
Astera Labs ALABMar 2024$36+72%+29%+4%+2%−24%+19%−58%
Klaviyo KVYOSep 2023$30+9%+7%−8%−17%−18%+4%−41%
Instacart CARTSep 2023$30+12%−11%−25%−26%+13%+24%−33%
Arm Holdings ARMSep 2023$51+25%−18%−20%+3%+100%+118%−43%
Rivian RIVNNov 2021$78+29%+45%+14%−36%−76%−67%−88%
Robinhood HOODJul 2021$38−8%+46%+35%+2%−67%−74%−90%
Coinbase COINApr 2021DirectNot yet−5%−19%−30%−24%−54%−58%
Coupang CPNGMar 2021$35+41%−11%−8%−23%−39%−62%−64%
Roblox RBLXMar 2021DirectNot yet+10%+3%+31%+20%−36%−69%
Affirm AFRMJan 2021$49+97%+13%+31%−29%−40%−18%−65%
Airbnb ABNBDec 2020$68+113%+2%+11%+45%+3%+25%−39%
DoorDash DASHDec 2020$102+86%−17%−12%−25%−19%−13%−47%
Palantir PLTRSep 2020DirectNot yet+5%+13%+164%+143%+153%−53%
Snowflake SNOWSep 2020$120+112%−14%−5%+29%−15%+27%−52%
Datadog DDOGSep 2019$27+39%−14%−16%+2%−11%+128%−42%
Cloudflare NETSep 2019$15+20%+10%−13%−2%−12%+94%−32%
CrowdStrike CRWDJun 2019$34+71%+33%+27%+19%−18%+64%−67%
Uber UBERMay 2019$45−8%+1%+2%−4%−34%−24%−68%
Pinterest PINSApr 2019$19+28%+22%+6%+5%+7%−29%−70%
Zoom ZMApr 2019$36+72%+7%+37%+51%+8%+140%−40%
Lyft LYFTMar 2019$72+9%−5%−24%−16%−47%−66%−80%
Spotify SPOTApr 2018DirectNot yet+4%+14%+15%+21%−3%−46%
Dropbox DBXMar 2018$21+36%+5%+2%+18%−7%−23%−54%
MongoDB MDBOct 2017$24+34%−3%−7%−10%+15%+103%−26%
Okta OKTAApr 2017$17+38%+4%+1%−1%+19%+67%−20%
Snap SNAPMar 2017$17+44%−7%−8%−13%−39%−26%−56%
Twilio TWLOJun 2016$15+92%+27%+42%+125%+20%+3%−66%
Block XYZNov 2015$9+45%−8%−6%−26%−28%−7%−44%
Shopify SHOPMay 2015$17+51%+6%+44%+14%+9%+2%−52%
Alibaba BABASep 2014$68+38%−4%−6%+16%−10%−32%−49%
Facebook METAMay 2012$38+1%−17%−17%−50%−40%−34%−54%
Median+38%−2%−6%−5%−12%−2%−54%
Average+47%+2%+2%+8%−5%+12%−55%
% positive93%48%43%43%41%48%n/a
IPOs counted40444444414040

Technical

Of the 40 IPOs with a full year of trading, the median biggest fall from a high to a later low inside that year was −54%, and 25 fell by half or more. Measured from the first-day close to the end of the year, though, the median return was −2%, and 19 of 40 were up. The median first-day pop over the offer price was +38%.

Plain English

A new listing halving from a high at some point in its first year is common. Buying at the first close and holding for a year has typically cost far less than half, but the range is wide: from Palantir at +153% to Figma at −78%. The first-day pop mostly goes to those allotted shares at the offer price. From Singapore, you usually buy through a US broker at the first trade or later, and your return also moves with the US dollar against the Singapore dollar.

Source: Daily closes (price only, adjusted for splits): Yahoo Finance. Offer prices and listing dates: each company's SEC prospectus. Klarna's first-day close, missing from Yahoo, is from NYSE trading reports. Data to 30 Oct 2026. Refreshed each weekday after the US and SGX closes.

Returns are price only and start from the first-day close. One week, one month and three, six and twelve months are 5, 21, 63, 126 and 252 trading days later; the biggest fall runs from any high to a later low over those 252 days. Summary rows count only IPOs that have traded that long. Spotify, Palantir, Roblox and Coinbase were direct listings, with no offer price. Twitter (2013) is left out: it was taken private in 2022 and its prices are no longer published. Past returns don't predict future returns.

Past returns don't predict future returns. Figures are for US markets; a Singapore investor also carries the US dollar's moves against the Singapore dollar. For education only. Not financial advice.