Walmart
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Walmart Inc. is an American multinational omnichannel retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets (also called supercenters), discount department stores, grocery stores, pharmacies, and gas stations in the United States and 19 other countries.
From Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0, revision of 20 Oct 2026.
What stands out
- Sales have grown about 5.0% a year for five years, so each $1 of sales in FY2021 is about $1.28 now.Revenue growth over 5–10 years: +5.0% a year
- Walmart kept about 4 cents of operating profit from each $1 of sales in FY2026.Operating margin (operating income ÷ revenue): 4.2%
- For every $1 of reported profit over 5 years, about $0.80 turned up as spare cash.Free cash flow (operating cash flow − capex), and FCF ÷ net income: $14.9B
Worth digging into
- Price more than 50% above the valuation sheet's middle valuePrice +119% against the sheet's default story, 16 Oct 2026
- Thin profits: operating margin under 5%, or a lossFY2026 operating margin 4.2%
From filed figures and the weekly screener snapshot, 30 Oct 2026. Observations to check in the tabs below, not advice.
What has the price done?
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Press and drag across the chart to see the change between two points. Source: Yahoo Finance, delayed. Bars are daily and prices are adjusted for splits, not dividends. Past returns don't predict future returns.
Dividends
Full chart
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How does it make money?
What it does is in the oven
We haven't typed up Walmart's business and region split yet. Every figure comes from the company's own results, so this takes a little time.
See companies we've covered ›History and context
Walmart Inc. is an American multinational omnichannel retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets (also called supercenters), discount department stores, grocery stores, pharmacies, and gas stations in the United States and 19 other countries. It is headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas. The company was founded in 1962 by brothers Sam Walton and James "Bud" Walton in nearby Rogers, Arkansas. It also owns and operates Sam's Club retail warehouses.
As of 2026, Walmart is the second-largest company by revenue globally and the largest private employer in the world, with 2.1 million employees. The company is ranked two in the Fortune 500 and Fortune Global 500. In February 2026, Walmart became the first traditional retailer to be valued at over $1 trillion and is known for product innovation. It is a publicly traded family-owned business (the largest such business in the world), as the company is controlled by the Walton family. Sam Walton's heirs own over 50 percent of Walmart through both their holding company Walton Enterprises and their individual holdings.
From Wikipedia's article Walmart, the lead section as of the revision of 20 Oct 2026, retrieved 1 Nov 2026. Text under CC BY-SA 4.0, pronunciation guides removed. Wikipedia can be edited by anyone; the company's own filings are the primary source.
What it actually sells Soon
A product-by-product guide to Walmart: what each one is, who buys it, and how much it brings in, in plain English and in the company's own terms. We're starting with the companies that are hardest to picture, like Broadcom.
Moat not rated yet
We haven't rated Walmart's moat. A rating needs at least five years of returns against the cost of capital, plus evidence for each of the five lenses.
How we rate moats ›Is it a good business at a fair price?
What each method implies
Ranges, not targetsThe five questions, and the price
Six checks from the annual reports. A flag marks a reason to dig deeper, not a verdict.
- 1. Is it growing?Within the guide
+5.0% a year
Revenue growth over 5–10 years
Revenue $559.2B in FY2021 to $713.2B in FY2026; +4.0% a year over 10 years. It fell in 0 of the last 5 years.
Sales have grown about 5.0% a year for five years, so each $1 of sales in FY2021 is about $1.28 now.
What to look for Steady growth, not one lucky year.
Source: FY2021 10-K, filed 19 Mar 2021; FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026.
- 2. Is it profitable?Within the guide
4.2%
Operating margin (operating income ÷ revenue)
FY2026 operating margin. 5-year average 4.1%, range 3.3% to 4.5%.
Walmart kept about 4 cents of operating profit from each $1 of sales in FY2026.
What to look for Stable or rising. It's cleaner than net income, which one-off items and tax can distort.
Source: FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026.
- 3. Is the profit real cash?Within the guide
$14.9B
Free cash flow (operating cash flow − capex), and FCF ÷ net income
FY2026 free cash flow: operating cash flow $41.6B less capex $26.6B. Over 5 years FCF was 80% of net income.
For every $1 of reported profit over 5 years, about $0.80 turned up as spare cash.
What to look for FCF positive and growing, and close to net income over time.
Source: FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026.
- 4. Is it a good business?Within the guide
18.6% ROIC
Return on invested capital (ROIC); ROE for banks
FY2026 ROIC. 5-year average 17.5%; above 10% in 5 of 5 years. ROIC here is our calculation from the 10-K figures: operating income after tax (at the year's effective rate, or 21% where that rate is meaningless) over shareholders' equity plus borrowings less cash and short-term investments at the start of the year. Leases are left out.
Each $1 tied up in the business has earned about 18 cents a year after tax.
What to look for Clearly above the cost of capital (roughly 8–10%). Sustained 15%+ usually means a moat.
Source: FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026.
- 5. Can it survive a bad year?Within the guide
2.3x FCF
Net debt ÷ EBITDA or ÷ FCF, plus interest cover
FY2026 year end: borrowings $44.8B, cash and short-term investments $10.7B, net debt $34.0B, 0.8x EBITDA. Operating income covers interest 12.9x.
At last year's pace, Walmart's spare cash would pay off its net debt in about 2.3 years.
What to look for Debt payable from about 3 years of FCF or less, interest covered many times.
Source: FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026.
- 6. Is the price right?
1.5% FCF yield
FCF yield or EV/EBIT, and price against a cash-flow value
Market cap $979.9B. FCF yield 1.5% on FY2026 free cash flow. EV/EBIT 34.0x on FY2026 operating income. The valuation sheet's default story values it at US$-12.87–US$133.55 a share (middle US$54.18); at US$118.81, its 16 Oct 2026 price, the price is +119.3% against the middle.
At this price, each $100 of shares comes with about $1.52 of last year's spare cash. On the sheet's default story the price sits above the middle of its value range, by 119%. Change the story and that moves.
What to look for Pay less than a cash-flow value estimate, with a margin of safety.
Source: Price $123.51, Yahoo Finance weekly snapshot, 30 Oct 2026; 7,934M shares, 10-Q 26 Aug 2026; FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026; Stock valuation, 16 Oct 2026.
US figures: each company's Form 10-K as tagged on SEC EDGAR, collected 19 Oct 2026. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less purchases of property and equipment. Borrowings exclude leases. For education only. Not financial advice.
Ten years of financials
FY2017 to FY2026, in US dollars.
Source: Walmart, Form 10-K for each year as first filed, via SEC EDGAR XBRL. Latest: FY2026 10-K, filed 13 Mar 2026. Later restatements aren't applied.
How peers compare
Big-box and club retailRetailers run on thin margins by design, so steady revenue growth and the multiple paid for it carry the comparison.
| Company | Revenue growth, 5y | Operating margin | P/E | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | +5.0% a year | 4.2% | 45.2x | 23.3x |
| COST | +9.1% a year | 3.9% | 48.8x | 30.3x |
| HD | +4.5% a year | 12.7% | 23.1x | 15.6x |
Prices: weekly screener snapshot, 30 Oct 2026. Profits: each company's latest annual filing via SEC EDGAR, as filed. Peers are hand-picked for this industry. A multiple compares one year's profit with today's price; it says nothing about what either does next.
Discounted cash flow, from Stock valuation
Ten years of free cash flow to the firm, from Walmart's latest figures and Damodaran's industry averages (Retail (General)). It's one story told with numbers, so it comes as a range.
- Value range, the default story$-12.87–$133.55Middle $54.18 a share
- Price, 16 Oct 2026 close$118.81+119.28% ▲ against the middle
- What the price implies22.3% a yearGrowth in years 2–5 that makes value equal the price; the story uses 5.0%
To be worth today's price, Walmart would need to grow sales about 22.3% a year in years 2–5. One way to read this is to ask whether that sounds believable.
The story's assumptions
- Revenue, last 12 months
- $735,840M
- Operating margin now
- 3.9%
- Revenue growth, year 1
- 5.0%
- Revenue growth, years 2–5
- 5.0%
- Growth after year 10
- 5.1%
- Target operating margin, by year 5
- 5.4%
- Sales to capital, years 1–5 / 6–10
- 3.51 / 3.51
- Tax rate now / after year 10
- 23.3% / 25.0%
- Cost of capital, years 1–5
- 8.3%
- Cost of capital after year 10
- 8.7%
- Return on capital after year 10
- 11.1%
- Chance of failure
- 0.0%
Value per share as two inputs change (revenue growth, years 2–5 down, target operating margin across)
| Revenue growth, years 2–5 | 0.4% | 5.4% | 10.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | $-4.95 | $48.82 | $102.60 |
| 5.0% | $-8.64 | $54.18 | $117.01 |
| 8.0% | $-12.87 | $60.34 | $133.55 |
Middle cell: the default story. Each step is 3 points of growth or 5 points of margin.
| Year | Growth | Revenue | Margin | Operating income | Tax rate | After-tax income | Reinvestment | Free cash flow | Cost of capital | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.0% | $772,301M | 4.2% | $32,626M | 23.3% | $25,040M | $10,399M | $14,642M | 8.3% | $13,520M |
| 2 | 5.0% | $810,568M | 4.5% | $36,562M | 23.3% | $28,061M | $10,914M | $17,148M | 8.3% | $14,620M |
| 3 | 5.0% | $850,732M | 4.8% | $40,808M | 23.3% | $31,320M | $11,455M | $19,866M | 8.3% | $15,640M |
| 4 | 5.0% | $892,886M | 5.1% | $45,386M | 23.3% | $34,833M | $12,022M | $22,811M | 8.3% | $16,583M |
| 5 | 5.0% | $937,128M | 5.4% | $50,316M | 23.3% | $38,618M | $12,618M | $26,000M | 8.3% | $17,452M |
| 6 | 5.0% | $983,816M | 5.4% | $52,823M | 23.6% | $40,357M | $13,315M | $27,041M | 8.4% | $16,748M |
| 7 | 5.0% | $1,033,095M | 5.4% | $55,469M | 24.0% | $42,184M | $14,055M | $28,129M | 8.5% | $16,064M |
| 8 | 5.0% | $1,085,122M | 5.4% | $58,262M | 24.3% | $44,104M | $14,838M | $29,266M | 8.5% | $15,399M |
| 9 | 5.1% | $1,140,062M | 5.4% | $61,212M | 24.6% | $46,123M | $15,669M | $30,454M | 8.6% | $14,754M |
| 10 | 5.1% | $1,198,091M | 5.4% | $64,328M | 25.0% | $48,246M | $16,550M | $31,696M | 8.7% | $14,128M |
| After 10 | 5.1% | $1,259,074M | 5.4% | $67,602M | 25.0% | $50,701M | $23,166M | $27,535M | 8.7% | $340,920M |
- Present value of years 1–10
- $154,908M
- Present value after year 10
- $340,920M
- Less debt, plus cash
- −$63,563M
- Value of equity
- $432,265M
- Shares
- 7,978M
- Value per share, default story
- $54.18
Company figures: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/wmt/statistics/, TTM to Jul 2026. Industry averages: Aswath Damodaran, January 2026 US data. Risk-free rates: US 10-year Treasury 5.09% and Singapore 10-year 2.34%, 16 Oct 2026. Equity risk premium: Damodaran's implied premium of 4.20%, 1 Oct 2026. Company figures are the latest reported before 19 Oct 2026. Data as of 16 Oct 2026. The sheet follows the spreadsheets Aswath Damodaran publishes; it is not affiliated with or endorsed by him. A model's value is not a price target. For education only. Not financial advice.
Who owns it, and what's the mood?
Tracked investors and insiders
Trades in Walmart by the people we follow: Warren Buffett and Michael Burry (13F), Grab's officers (Form 4) and Nancy Pelosi (House reports). They show what happened, often weeks later, not what to copy.
| Who | Did | Size | When | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TemasekTemasek Holdings | AddedShares | +1,315,936 sharesabout $136,752,069 at quarter-end value | Q3 2026 | 28 Oct 202628 days after Q3 2026 ended |
| Ro KhannaUS House member, CA-17 (dependent child's trade) | SoldShares | $15,001 – $50,000 | 11 Sep 2026 | 7 Oct 202626 days after the trade |
Sources: SEC EDGAR 13F-HR and Form 4 filings, and the US House Clerk's Periodic Transaction Reports, checked 30 Oct 2026. 13F values are the quarter-end value, not the price paid. All tracked trades ›
- Largest shareholdersSoonThe biggest holders from 13F filings and the annual proxy statement.—
- Chief executive and board holdingsSoonShares held by the CEO and directors, from the proxy statement and Form 4s.—
- Short interestSoonHow many shares are sold short, from exchange short-interest reports.—
Crowd favourite or value trap?
Neither is a label we can put on a stock. These are signs worth looking into, each from a figure on this page.
Signs of a crowd-driven price
Meme stocks move on attention more than on results: big swings, a price far from cash-flow value, thin profits.
2 of 4 signs
- NoSwings at least twice as much as the marketBeta 0.53, 5 years of monthly returns
- NoUp more than 100%, or down more than 50%, in a year1-year price change +23.10%
- YesPrice more than 50% above the valuation sheet's middle valuePrice +119% against the sheet's default story, 16 Oct 2026
- YesThin profits: operating margin under 5%, or a lossFY2026 operating margin 4.2%
Signs of a value trap
A value trap looks cheap because the business is shrinking or earning less than its capital costs.
0 of 4 signs
- NoLooks cheap: P/E under 12 or FCF yield over 8%P/E 45.2x, FCF yield 1.5%
- NoRevenue lower than five years agoRevenue +5.0% a year over 5 years
- NoReturns below the cost of capital5-year average ROIC 17.5% against 10.0%
- NoMore than 30% below its 52-week high−8.6% from the 52-week high
Prices, beta and 1-year change: Yahoo Finance weekly snapshot, 30 Oct 2026. Business figures: the five questions under Valuation and financials. A sign is a reason to dig deeper, not a verdict. For education only. Not financial advice.
Read it through a lens
Price data: Yahoo Finance, delayed. Company figures: each company's own filings, dated where they appear. A ticker on this site is not a recommendation. For education only. Not financial advice.